Difference between revisions of "AI predictions"
KevinYager (talk | contribs) (Created page with "=Economic and Political= * 2024-06: [https://situational-awareness.ai/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/situationalawareness.pdf Situational Awareness] ([https://www.forourposterity....") |
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=Economic and Political= | =Economic and Political= | ||
| + | * 2023-12: [https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2023/11/27/techno_optimism.html My techno-optimism]: "defensive acceleration" ([https://vitalik.eth.limo/index.html Vitalik Buterin]) | ||
* 2024-06: [https://situational-awareness.ai/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/situationalawareness.pdf Situational Awareness] ([https://www.forourposterity.com/ Leopold Aschenbrenner]) - [https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nP5FFYFjtY8LgWymt/quotes-from-leopold-aschenbrenner-s-situational-awareness select quotes], [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdbVtZIn9IM podcast], [https://danielmiessler.com/p/podcast-summary-dwarkesh-vs-leopold-aschenbrenner text summary of podcast] | * 2024-06: [https://situational-awareness.ai/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/situationalawareness.pdf Situational Awareness] ([https://www.forourposterity.com/ Leopold Aschenbrenner]) - [https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/nP5FFYFjtY8LgWymt/quotes-from-leopold-aschenbrenner-s-situational-awareness select quotes], [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zdbVtZIn9IM podcast], [https://danielmiessler.com/p/podcast-summary-dwarkesh-vs-leopold-aschenbrenner text summary of podcast] | ||
* 2024-12: [https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KFFaKu27FNugCHFmh/by-default-capital-will-matter-more-than-ever-after-agi By default, capital will matter more than ever after AGI] (L Rudolf L) | * 2024-12: [https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/KFFaKu27FNugCHFmh/by-default-capital-will-matter-more-than-ever-after-agi By default, capital will matter more than ever after AGI] (L Rudolf L) | ||
| − | * | + | * 2025-01: [https://lukedrago.substack.com/p/the-intelligence-curse The Intelligence Curse]: With AGI, powerful actors will lose their incentives to invest in people |
=Science & Technology Improvements= | =Science & Technology Improvements= | ||
Revision as of 10:38, 3 January 2025
Economic and Political
- 2023-12: My techno-optimism: "defensive acceleration" (Vitalik Buterin)
- 2024-06: Situational Awareness (Leopold Aschenbrenner) - select quotes, podcast, text summary of podcast
- 2024-12: By default, capital will matter more than ever after AGI (L Rudolf L)
- 2025-01: The Intelligence Curse: With AGI, powerful actors will lose their incentives to invest in people
Science & Technology Improvements
- 2024-09: The Intelligence Age (Sam Altman)
- 2024-10: Machines of Loving Grace(Dario Amodei)
- 2024-11: A new golden age of discovery (Google DeepMind)
