Difference between revisions of "AI predictions"

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(Science & Technology Improvements)
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=AGI Achievable=
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* Leopold Aschenbrenner: [https://situational-awareness.ai/from-gpt-4-to-agi/#Counting_the_OOMs Situational Awareness: Counting the OOMs]
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* Richard Ngo: [https://medium.com/@richardcngo/visualizing-the-deep-learning-revolution-722098eb9c5 Visualizing the deep learning revolution]
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* Katja Grace: [https://blog.aiimpacts.org/p/2023-ai-survey-of-2778-six-things Survey of 2,778 AI authors: six parts in pictures]
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* Epoch AI: [https://epoch.ai/trends Machine Learning Trends]
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* AI Digest: [https://theaidigest.org/progress-and-dangers How fast is AI improving?]
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=Economic and Political=
 
=Economic and Political=
 
* 2023-12: [https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2023/11/27/techno_optimism.html My techno-optimism]: "defensive acceleration" ([https://vitalik.eth.limo/index.html Vitalik Buterin])
 
* 2023-12: [https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2023/11/27/techno_optimism.html My techno-optimism]: "defensive acceleration" ([https://vitalik.eth.limo/index.html Vitalik Buterin])

Revision as of 10:46, 3 January 2025

AGI Achievable

Economic and Political

Science & Technology Improvements