Difference between revisions of "Talk:AI predictions"
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* 2024-03: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/two-years-later-deep-learning-is Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges] | * 2024-03: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/two-years-later-deep-learning-is Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges] | ||
* 2024-04: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/evidence-that-llms-are-reaching-a Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean] | * 2024-04: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/evidence-that-llms-are-reaching-a Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean] | ||
| + | ===Gary Marcus other=== | ||
| + | * 2022-05: [https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/horse-rides-astronaut Horse rides astronaut: What nearly everyone got wrong about DALL-E & Google’s Imagen, and why when it comes to AI hype, you still can't believe what you read] | ||
| + | ** 2025-10: [https://x.com/elder_plinius/status/1974576650928152681 Pliny the Liberator] | ||
==Random Essays== | ==Random Essays== | ||
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** 2023-09: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2023/09/10/diversity-ai-risk.html Brain dump on the diversity of AI risk] | ** 2023-09: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2023/09/10/diversity-ai-risk.html Brain dump on the diversity of AI risk] | ||
** 2024-02: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2024/02/12/fractal.html Neural network training makes beautiful fractals] | ** 2024-02: [https://sohl-dickstein.github.io/2024/02/12/fractal.html Neural network training makes beautiful fractals] | ||
| + | * [https://giansegato.com/essays Gian] | ||
| + | ** 2025-04: [https://giansegato.com/essays/agency-is-eating-the-world Agency is Eating the World] | ||
Latest revision as of 09:07, 6 October 2025
Skeptical
Gary Marcus predictions
- 2022-03: Deep Learning Is Hitting a Wall: What would it take for artificial intelligence to make real progress?
- 2024-03: Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges
- 2024-04: Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean
Gary Marcus other
- 2022-05: Horse rides astronaut: What nearly everyone got wrong about DALL-E & Google’s Imagen, and why when it comes to AI hype, you still can't believe what you read
- 2025-10: Pliny the Liberator
Random Essays
- Jascha's Blog
- 2022-11: Too much efficiency makes everything worse: overfitting and the strong version of Goodhart's law
- 2023-03: The hot mess theory of AI misalignment: More intelligent agents behave less coherently
- 2023-09: Brain dump on the diversity of AI risk
- 2024-02: Neural network training makes beautiful fractals
- Gian
- 2025-04: Agency is Eating the World
