Talk:AI predictions
Revision as of 09:55, 10 May 2025 by KevinYager (talk | contribs)
Skeptical
Gary Marcus predictions
- 2022-03: Deep Learning Is Hitting a Wall: What would it take for artificial intelligence to make real progress?
- 2024-03: Two years later, deep learning is still faced with the same fundamental challenges
- 2024-04: Evidence that LLMs are reaching a point of diminishing returns — and what that might mean
Random Essays
- Jascha's Blog
- 2022-11: Too much efficiency makes everything worse: overfitting and the strong version of Goodhart's law
- 2023-03: The hot mess theory of AI misalignment: More intelligent agents behave less coherently
- 2023-09: Brain dump on the diversity of AI risk
- 2024-02: Neural network training makes beautiful fractals
